Group F
Group F pairs 2022 quarter-finalists Netherlands with Japan — famous for their 2022 giant-killing — alongside Tunisia and the UEFA Playoff B winner. Get AI-powered win probability and match analysis for every Group F fixture.
Group F is one of the most intriguing groups in the 2026 World Cup draw, featuring two teams that performed well above expectations in 2022. The Netherlands reached the quarter-finals in Qatar, while Japan famously beat both Germany and Spain in the group stage before falling to Croatia. Their direct clash in Group F is one of the most anticipated matches of the tournament.
Tunisia are a consistent North African qualifier who bring AFCON experience to the group, capable of holding their own against strong European opposition. The UEFA Playoff B winner — Ukraine, Sweden, Poland or Albania — adds an unpredictable European element. Group F has no easy games and multiple routes to qualification.
The Netherlands have been rebuilding their footballing identity and reached the 2022 quarter-finals before losing to Argentina on penalties. Led by Virgil van Dijk and with players from Liverpool, Manchester City and top Dutch clubs, they are organised and hard to score against. The Netherlands rarely fall in the group stage at World Cups.
Japan's 2022 group stage included two of the biggest upsets in World Cup history — beating Germany 2-1 after going behind, then shocking Spain. Their system of disciplined defending followed by fast counter-attacks is now well-documented but still dangerous. Japan have serious quality in J-League and European football and will not fear any opponent.
Netherlands are favourites to top Group F, with Japan expected to push hard for first or second place. Japan's record of upsetting group leaders in 2022 means the Netherlands cannot afford complacency. Tunisia and the UEFA Playoff B winner will compete for the best third-place position.
Japan have shown they can upset any team on their day — their 2022 wins over Germany and Spain proved that. They will approach the Netherlands fixture with tactical preparation and confidence. The Netherlands will be fully aware of Japan's threat and will not make the same complacency mistakes as Germany and Spain did.
The Netherlands have reached the World Cup final three times (1974, 1978, 2010) without winning the title — earning them the nickname "best team never to win the World Cup." In 2026, under a settled squad and experienced manager, the Netherlands will be aiming to go further than their 2022 quarter-final exit.